Forecasters increased the predicted number of named storms and major hurricanes and said the season has the potential to be extremely active, and could be the most active since 2010. The amount of forecasted major hurricanes though did see a slight bump from 2-4 to 2-5.
This, accompanied by warmer tropical Atlantic waters than previously thought as well as wind and air patterns that look to be conducive for tropical development.
There are also lower chances of an El Nino forming, which means storm risk is higher, and so far, all of NOAA's predictive models are indicating a stronger than usual season.
The Atlantic hurricane season peaks every year in August and September, and this year is no exception. 30 and produces 12 named storms, of which six become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes, according to the NOAA. While Emily made landfall on July 31 in Anna Maria Island, Florida.
In the southwest Gulf of Mexico today Tropical Storm Franklin continues marching westward and is forecast to become a category 1 hurricane as early as tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to cross the coast in the Mexican state of Veracruz Wednesday night or early Thursday.
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All models are predicting an active storm season. The numbers include the six storms that already occurred. This forecast is calling for more tropical activity than the one issued before the season.
Andrew caused relatively minor storm surge, but Swiss Re says rising sea levels would exacerbate that flooding.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). Typically the first hurricane of a season develops around August 10, so Franklin is right on schedule by that measure.
The HWN typically activates whenever a hurricane is within 300 miles of landfall.