A tropical disturbance sparked by a broad band of low pressure in the northwestern Caribbean now has a 90 percent chance of turning into a tropical storm, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The hurricane season, which doesn't end till November 30, is expected to be rougher than usual, with 11 to 17 named storms likely to strike. It has maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour with higher gusts. The forecast will continue to change as we collect more data.
A potential tropical cyclone continues to move rapidly towards the southern Windward Islands today. The system is also expected to encounter inhospitable conditions in the Central Caribbean and likely fizzle. 4-6 inches of rain appears likely across Acadiana with localized 6-8 inch totals possible from Tuesday through Friday.
Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center are watching two tropical systems in the Atlantic basin that have a potential to become tropical storms in the next couple of days.
There's another tropical system brewing in the Atlantic as well.
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(The "A" storm this year was Arlene, a weak tropical storm that formed in the ocean well before the start of hurricane season).
Most models have the highest amount of rain located near the panhandle of Florida. A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bonaire and Aruba.
"Since we have a front over us, there's a chance later this week that some of that tropical moisture will affect, but it will have no direct impact on Georgia", Monahan said. A tropical cyclone could form early in the week over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico.
Some strengthening is expected, the hurricane center said, and the system could become Tropical Storm Bret tonight when it is expected to move through the islands. This is expected to be able to overcome the system, and dissipate it by the end of the work week.